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January 2008 Performance Review
We are now into 2008 and the balls are rolling. We
saw a lot of good things happen in January that moves our 2008
predictions forward for our trading styles. The foreign markets crashed
including the stock markets of Japan, Europe, India, and China in
January. This all happened over the Civil Rights Day weekend when the US
Equity markets were closed. It was a sure bet that the US markets would
crash too as the reason for the global crash was the fear of US
recession and credit crisis. The Fed did something that it hasn’t done
since right after September 11, 2001, they made an emergency rate change
to the interest rates – 1 full percent. HUGE! This quick adjustment was
just enough to keep the markets from experiencing another “Black” day
and sending traders into a sell-off frenzy. What did that do to our
trading? Due to the volatility, the On Target continued to experience
the back and forth runs resulting in a losing month. The Premier also
finished slightly lower after its double digit return month in December.
However, with an additional ˝ percent drop the following week by the
Fed, we are now looking at an agreed market direction. The name of the
game for the market powers is to save the US from recession. In addition
to the Fed rate drops, the government has jumped in with a stimulus
package to put more money in the consumers hands to spend. This plan is
like drinking a quick power drink full of sugar and caffeine right
before the big wrestling match, it works great on the short term but we
will pay for it over the long term. No one cares about the long term!
The focus is here and now and that is what the markets want. With the
rate decrease and more cash to spend for consumers we should see our
long-term trends continue which means the US Dollar will continue its
path lower.
February Outlook
So what can we expect in February? I said in the
2008 outlook that the On Target will be back on track most like at the
end of February into the first part of March. With the events of January
I believe that we will begin seeing the On Target back on track at the
beginning of February. As of this writing we have already seen a couple
of positive trades with no negative ones. The Premier will also perform
very well as the market consensus now has a majority. The EurAsia
strategy has been at a tug-of-war since December, the events mentioned
above should open things up as well on this strategy.
Trader’s Tip – Long-term
perspective
We have talked about this
before, but it merits another run – Maintain a Long-Term Perspective.
Trading the Forex is a marathon made up of small sprints here and there.
In recent months we have seen some crazy markets that really haven’t
taken us anywhere. Yet, over the long-term we will be able to look back
and see our progress. If you maintain a long-term perspective you will
stay in the game over the long term. Brief example: April 2007 was a
bumpy ride in the Forex – nothing compared to what we have experience
these last few months, however, a bumpy ride nevertheless. I had several
students want to throw in the towel over two losing weeks.
Unfortunately, some did. What did they miss? May was a good month and
June was a spectacular month. I personally made 42% in the month of June
– three of the four currencies I trade didn’t even have a losing trade
in June. Keep to your game plan, use proper leverage, and stick for the
long haul and you should have the account value that you are looking for
in the end.*
To learn more about the
managed forex accounts please call us directly at:
1-800-557-9776. |